{UAH} DRC KAMPALA TODAY

( 24/09/2013 - 10:26 )

The President and his aides can not be myopic as to initiate , at the same time , two debates , two fonts in Kinshasa and Kampala , without turning the locks necessary to win. It remains to find the tricks to avoid gift opportunistic ambush .

DR Congo gradually fills the criteria that would enable it to take the right direction towards the emergence : the latest report from the rating agency Moody's has awarded a B rating , saying only identified weaknesses that institutional instability stick positive outlook , including sustained growth, controlling inflation and exchange rates . The country has taken the right path. However, the architects of this improvement , the President of the Republic and his political camp to negotiate their future and deal with internal political and military explosive sub-regional context fronts.

Decoding .

Kinshasa as in Kampala , the time will stop. The two Dialogues are able to deliver their secrets this week. Kabila and his majority play their future in the two capitals. Who can honestly believe that Kengo and his friends participate in the National Consultations for the sake of the President ? Error! By launching the idea of ​​a national unity government , Kengo addressed directly and simultaneously to Kabila , external partners, the Opposition and the street. True to himself, the speaker of the Senate and member of the Presidium of the National Consultations , at the same time guarantee the moral foundation , presented himself as a leader who can play the card of compromise. This is over he managed to Tshisekedi speed in 1994 , becoming prime minister under Mobutu while already rolling for the Opposition chapel.

Today , it is on it he hopes to return to the Prime Minister . But for many, this approach would serve the interests of Kengo Kabila in that it would promote the return to power of final Mobutu clan. "This approach will remain ineffective until the UDPS and UNC , both parties go to the irreducible opposition to Kabila would be out of the process ," says one observer.

If Kengo and his plan to change everything after nearly two decades of the reign who defeated Mobutu , Kabila shows the willingness to deal to avoid chao, while being prepared refusal Tshisekedistes and Kamerhistes . Obviously, any lucid mind can not believe that the Rais approached Kengo and his group to give them power on a platter. A win-win political compromises assist the parties to agree and appease domestic political front as at the end of the Dialogue in Sun City, with the difference that , for some, the Prime Minister would perhaps never given to Opposition . An alliance with Kengo should not obscure the truth that no Legion Kengo is a diverse group on which all warned strategist must ask openly . In a survey published for the third consecutive time, the public continues to show his distrust vis-à- vis the rights of the rigor and his idea.

locks

It would miscalculation on the part of Kabila down his cards , wasting the energy to initiate a process to lose . It would be obviously unfamiliar with Kabila to believe for one moment that he is likely to lose once he personally initiated and led . But would that be enough to ensure the passage in 2016? This is another part . She plays on the military front . Here , the context is particular : the sub-region of the Great Lakes is undermined by the war. An armed conflict within the borders of the DR Congo but that benefits the Rwanda and Uganda , accused of armed power to destroy their rebellions and prevent Kabila stabilize the DR - Congo.

If western DR Congo , Sassou has reduced to silence the opposition by smoking the peace pipe with Pastor Ntumi and Bernard Kolelas past decade , Paul Kagame and Yoweri working on their sustainability in power at the head their respective states. The both were able to run their internal fronts. Kagame has done more to open wide the doors of Parliament to women hoping to minimize the challenge due to the massive presence of men in the legislature . All three can circumvent the constitutional obstacle smoothly , as opposed to Kabila countered emptying equation East and return to the legend.

President Rd -Congolese should have pursued the matter . Proof: it is both in Kampala via government delegates taking part in discussions with the M23, it has made ​​the trip from the United States to assess the level of implementation of the framework agreement in Addis Ababa at the same time it encourages the continuation of the offensive against the rebels by the Special Brigade of the UN and FARDC.

Excellent tactician , the President has always head out of the water when everyone thinks weakened . His family and he can not be short-sighted as to initiate , at the same time , two debates on two fronts , in Kinshasa and Kampala , without putting locks are necessary to win. They know that their political future depends on the outcome of Consultations and Dialogue in Kampala. Quite a challenge! What are the best opportunities and the best strategies to meet the challenge ? The experts worked there , says a source , referring to the recovery by the FARDC , last weekend , four villages formerly occupied by Rwandan FDLR rebels .


Natine K. Source: Africa News -

 

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