{UAH} DP BLOCK MPS GIVE BOBI A HOPE FOR A JOB AFTER THE 2021 ELECTIONS!
DP BLOCK MPS GIVE BOBI A HOPE FOR A JOB AFTER THE 2021 ELECTIONS!
By Abbey Kibirige Semuwemba, UK
First, let's be clear: no single opposition party, at the moment, is capable of dislodging NRM and Museveni from power.Please don't deceive yourself to think Hon. Beti Mp Bakireke Nambooze, Mathias Mpuuga and others have moved to NUP to remove Museveni from power—they are there to fight for their positions. Everyone is trying to survive politically, and that includes Bobi Wine himself—that's why he joined NUP and took it over unscrupulously.
DP had 17 MPs in the current parliament, it has lost about 10 MPs so far, but it still has a few remaining with Norbert Mao. FDC had 36 MPs in the current parliament but it has lost about 9, and it is still hanging on to the 27 MPs. UPC has 6 MPs but are staying put, so far. UPDF has 10 MPs and they will never move anywhere–Actually, you could call them Museveni/ NRM MPs, too. NRM has 293 MPs and they have only lost about 3-5 to the opposition, and that should worry you more than anything. The number of Independent MPs are about 60, and are bigger than all opposition party MP numbers combined, but I see a lot of NUP members here celebrating poaching from an already crippled DP.
DP is finally on its deathbed, and I wonder how Mao plans to revive it after the 'prison' break of his enemies. This is one saga that should have ended eons ago. It should have ended during the times of Paul Ssemogerere Vs Francis Bwengye(1996-2005). That is the time they lost a lot of members, including Kasiano Wadri, to FDC. To add another layer of intrigue, it does look like the DP block members have joined NUP only to seek temporary refuge. I' m sure they will, in future, find a way out of that party and come back home, or go elsewhere.
Here's a prediction:NRM will dominate parliament again after the 2021 elections. We are going to see an increase in the number of Independent MPs. If Museveni does not sabotage NUP before the elections, they will, obviously, consolidate themselves more in Buganda, and Bobi will hopefully have a job after the 2021 elections. FDC is reorganizing itself after Mugisha Muntu, too, took away some MPs to his ANT. FDC will continue dominating the opposition side in parliament if they continue presenting themselves as a party for all-regardless of one's tribe or religion.They must also front a presidential candidate.
NUP now has 17 Members of Parliament after today's defections from DP, but it won't save Bobi in the long term because most MPs there are more like hostages to their ignorant followers—Most Ugandans love new things(good or bad) and get excited easily. Bobi's blackmail of other politicians, misinformation and mendacity about political parties are head-snapping. Most MPs have joined NUP but they don't like him at all, and it's so likely that they will cause him the same problems they've caused Norbert Mao.
Taken together, this is a massive failure in leadership that stems from a massive defect in character. Bobi is such a habitual liar that he is incapable of being honest, even when being honest would serve his interests. He is so impulsive, short-sighted, and undisciplined that he is unable to plan or even think beyond the moment. He is such a divisive and polarizing figure that he has lost the ability to unite the opposition under any circumstances and for any cause. And he is so narcissistic and unreflective that he is completely incapable of learning from his mistakes. His NUP may stagger on for a few more years, but it will be only a hollow shell.
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*Abbey Kibirige Semuwemba*
Stalk my blog at: http://semuwemba.wordpress.com
"Men in authority will always think that criticism of their policies is dangerous. They will always equate their policies with patriotism, and find criticism subversive." - Henry Steele Commager 1902-98
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