{UAH} Covid cases projected to peak mid – July this year, spread caused by “human influence” says National Planing Authority.

Dr. Joseph Muvawala the Executive Director, National Planing Authority (NPA) has warned of an increase in covid cases mid July this year due to human influence during the lock down. Graph showing actual curses projected cases of covid 19

While addressing press in Kampala, Dr. Muvawala said that after the development of a model in March 2020 that predicts covid infection cases every after 14 days which has been used ever since, it has proved to be 97% accurate and has shown that by July 10th 2020, cases will rise up to 7,214.

The model indicates a rise of new cases although lower than previous week averaging to atleast 1,037 new cases per day.

According to Dr. Muvawala,  internal factors such as effectivness of lock down measures, health capacity systems, population structure in terms of age and underlying conditions, population density, access to health services among others are the dominant contributors to the spread.

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"When a man is stung by a bee, he doesn't set off to destroy all beehives"

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