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{UAH} BESIGYE, TINYE AND SSEBAGALA VS MUSEVENI.


The former controversial Mayor of Kampala City, Naser Ntege Ssebagala supported the opposition against Museveni during the 2001 presidential elections. Ssebagala had defeated two of the Museveni sponsored candidates for the mayoral race. Ssebagala had won on the ticket of the traditional anti-Museveni Kampala dwellers more especially the urban unemployed youth and the common low income people.

During the controvercial 2001 elections in which Dr. Besigye gave Museveni a tough challenge, Ssebagala was a symbol of opposition in Kampala city which proved to be an opposition stronghold. During the 1996 elections Kampala city had also demonstrated opposition to Museveni in favour of Paul Ssemwogerere. Then Captain Hudsom Mukasa - Muganda Commanding Officer of the then Mbuya based 7th Batallion had to be reprimanded when it was discoved that his unit was sympathetic to the opposition. Indeed as the Unit was ordered out Kampala, the convoy bemused residents when it chantet pro-opposition songs thus Ssemogerere gira ofuganda Museveni tumukoye.

During 2001 elections Naser Ssebagala while attendinding Hon Ken Lukyamuzi's wedding publicly predicted that the elections would end up in a rerun and then Museveni would loose. He warned that if Museveni refused to hand over power, he would be overthrown by peoples protests citing the case of Yugoslavia's Slobadan Milosevic. As the polling day drew nearer, it became clear that Mayor Ssebagala was busy mobilising his youth brigades in Kampala to storm the city with protests immediately after the resusts would show that Museveni had won. Museveni who was by then residing in the city centre panicked alot. At the time the Police had not yet become a branch of his NRA. His security detail was still manned by the somehow ethinically balanced PPU and had not yet detached itself from the mainstream Army. Above all Col Besigye had claimed that he had 90% support of the army and Museven had threatened to send him six feet underground. Museveni's intelligence estimates indicated that Mayor Nasser Ssebagala's plans of youth protests was a formidable threat. Museveni sanctioned Gen Tinyefuza to talk to Ssebagala with view of convicing him to abandon the youth protests. On the eve of the elections Tinyefuza drove to Ssebagala's residence in Bugolobi in the evening. After a lengthy meeting a deal was reached for the Lord Mayor to abandon the planned protests. Ssebagala without giving reason communicated to the youth who had been on standby to standdown. Museveni at the time breathed a sigh of relief but embarked on a long task of barricading himself against future popular protests. 

Following the post 2011 election protests in Kampala, Museveni is hiding behind the cover of modernising the city to get rid of potential protesters. The desgination of Kampala as an autonomous Authority, the creation of the position of the Executive Director, undermining the Lord Mayor and plans to expand Kampala into the teritory of Buganda are all long term manouvers of recapturing Kampala city from being an opposition stronghold. The current controvercial moves to rid the city centre of vendors, bodaboda riders and the common urban unemployed youths coupled by preventive detention of opposition leaders are all desperate manouvers to disable their ease of mobility into an Arab Spring kind of resistance. Museveni believes that at the slightest blink of the eye, Dr. Besigye can lead protesters to take over the city centre hence the 24 hours security survallance around him. 

Museveni's worry is that should such a scenarior arise, his security forces will quell it after killing hundreds of the protesters. In turn he will be made a subject of ICC indictment. Hower, if he succeeds in manipulating the AU into withdrawing from the ICC, he will have a free day in gruesomely comitting human rights violations unabetted. He is aware that he has already comitted indictable attrocities in Uganda. He is also aware that he is not yet spared from the ICC indictment over attrocities in the Congo thus the hasty championing of a withdrawing from the ICC by African countries. Criminal proceedings are never time bared. Gadafi survived the ICC but was indicted by God. 

INFORMATION IS POWER.
Viele GruBe
Robukui

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