{UAH} BETWEEN MBABAZI AND MUSEVENI - WHO BENEFITS FROM A BESIGYE ASSASSINATION?
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BETWEEN MBABAZI AND MUSEVENI - WHO BENEFITS FROM A BESIGYE ASSASSINATION?
Much as the tittle may look awkward, in a revolutionary struggle all scenarios must be examined. Museveni's main worry is Dr. Besigye's strong stance and insistence on mobilising the masses to reclaim Uganda from the bonddage of 30 years military dictatorship. Museveni has already threatened that the forthcoming elections is a matter of life and death. Prof. Bukenya earlier on alleged that the regime was full of 'Mafias'.
Museveni knows that his 30 years hold on poeer has prepared fertile ground for such mass action. With or without Museveni's approval, some of his hardliner cohorts may choose to 'eliminate' Dr. Besigye during this campaign period. Such a scenario would plung the country into a temporary political chaos but to the regime it would be good riddance of a serious threat to their hold on power. They may prefer to handle the çonsequences than risking to loose power. An assassination of Dr. Besigye wouldn't be a big deal since even Dr. Andrew Kayiira (UFM) was killed by 'thugs', Moses Ali (UNRF) was incarcerated for years, Angelo Okelo (UPDA) died after signing the peace deal, Prof. Lule (NRM Chairman), Commander Magara and Sseguya (NRA Army Commanders died in the bush) so that their forces could be thoroughly integrated into the NRA and the regime moved on for 30 years now.
On the other hand, Presidential candidate Amama Mbabazi's bid for a joint opposition presidential candidature was failed by Dr. Besigye's failure toSTEP
down for him. Both the Kenya's Rails Odinga and the Koffi Anani mediated efforts for a joint Presidential candidate under the loose opposition alliance (TDA) could not bring either of the two to step down for the other. That is why to some extent, it looks like the two are competing for oppositionSUPPORT. Mbabazi is relying on the traditional opposition Parties for support. The top DP leadership has wholesomely thrown itsw weight behind Mbabazi. A faction of the UPC is also backing Mbabazi just as does JEMA, FA, and some sections of pressure groups and civil society. Some few top leaders of the FDC have also backed Mbabazi. For fear of dire consequences, moderate members of the regime party will only covertly support Mbabazi. Therefore, Mbabazi's candidature relies more on the opposition if it to make meaningful impact.
Therefore, in the event Dr. Besigye is 'knocked off', there is no doubt Mbabazi will inherit all the opposition support. Much as we pray in the name of the Almighty God that such a scenario does not arise, we urge Dr. Besigye to be mindful of his personal security. The beneficiary not withstanding, who of the two would be the suspect???
INFORMATION IS POWER
Museveni knows that his 30 years hold on poeer has prepared fertile ground for such mass action. With or without Museveni's approval, some of his hardliner cohorts may choose to 'eliminate' Dr. Besigye during this campaign period. Such a scenario would plung the country into a temporary political chaos but to the regime it would be good riddance of a serious threat to their hold on power. They may prefer to handle the çonsequences than risking to loose power. An assassination of Dr. Besigye wouldn't be a big deal since even Dr. Andrew Kayiira (UFM) was killed by 'thugs', Moses Ali (UNRF) was incarcerated for years, Angelo Okelo (UPDA) died after signing the peace deal, Prof. Lule (NRM Chairman), Commander Magara and Sseguya (NRA Army Commanders died in the bush) so that their forces could be thoroughly integrated into the NRA and the regime moved on for 30 years now.
On the other hand, Presidential candidate Amama Mbabazi's bid for a joint opposition presidential candidature was failed by Dr. Besigye's failure toSTEP
down for him. Both the Kenya's Rails Odinga and the Koffi Anani mediated efforts for a joint Presidential candidate under the loose opposition alliance (TDA) could not bring either of the two to step down for the other. That is why to some extent, it looks like the two are competing for oppositionSUPPORT. Mbabazi is relying on the traditional opposition Parties for support. The top DP leadership has wholesomely thrown itsw weight behind Mbabazi. A faction of the UPC is also backing Mbabazi just as does JEMA, FA, and some sections of pressure groups and civil society. Some few top leaders of the FDC have also backed Mbabazi. For fear of dire consequences, moderate members of the regime party will only covertly support Mbabazi. Therefore, Mbabazi's candidature relies more on the opposition if it to make meaningful impact.Therefore, in the event Dr. Besigye is 'knocked off', there is no doubt Mbabazi will inherit all the opposition support. Much as we pray in the name of the Almighty God that such a scenario does not arise, we urge Dr. Besigye to be mindful of his personal security. The beneficiary not withstanding, who of the two would be the suspect???
INFORMATION IS POWER
Posted by Uganda - A Change of Guards! a
Viele GruBe
Robukui
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