{UAH} Good article by some better Robert than out Atuhairwe!

IF ONLY EVERY UGANDAN COULD READ THIS.

"Sometimes it's difficult to understand how Ugandans analyze things...

First off, Mbabazi did not show up on the scene so as to gain more popularity than Besigye, and if you observe he has not sought to do so.  As far as JPAM is concerned, he believes NRM with M7 at the helm is in rapid decline, having stood by his side and seen how devious M7 mind is.

Secondly there are future generations which depend on the Mbabazi Generation, making it or breaking it for them.  The best answer God, can give Uganda now, is denying M7 another 5 years, because with m7 at the helm Uganda will slide down into a worse state than the 1980s. Because its NRM anyway that triggered the destruction in Luwero after the Tanzanian Invasion. So JPAM is not in these campaigns for the sake of his name or fame.

I have never heard Norbert Mao or any other opposition leader on the Go Forwward or TDA team say that they joined Mbabazi because he was popular or highly formidable. No.

I personally support Mbabazi because, he is first of all pure Civilian, has studied the mind and intention of Dictator M7 and I believe he has witnessed the intrigue in that house much longer( forget the good doctor) and  he is best placed in identifying the chink in M7's armour and trickery to wrest, the power from the Dictatorship. He is also genuine in intending to shift power to the next generation, he is a man of his word, unlike M7 and he knows the rule of Law, unlike M7 who has no friend and respects no one.

Based on the news, the focus of M7 and his campaign team is JPAM and there isnt much in disrupting KB's rallies but its another story in messing up JPAM's campaign trail. That tells you something....  JPAM is the biggest threat to Museveni's illegal and autocratic hold onto power in the last 30 years.

Besigye has contested for the presidency 3 times and has on all occasions failed to translate his victories into state power, even when courts decided that he was legitimately the winner.

So, Fellow Ugandans, if we keep doing the same things expecting to get the same results we only have ourselves to blame, we are gullible. JPAM is the man who gives us a different perspective. I am certain that KB cannot unseat Museveni regardless of his popularity. The same tricks will be used to deny him victory.

JPAM is calm and organised. To win elections in Uganda you do not need popularity but meticulous organisation and JPAM will surprise many of us by polling more votes than Besigye and here are some pointers;

In 2011 Besiggye had the same huge crowds following him in the country, but he won in only 3 of the 112 districts!! Norbert Mao won more - 6 out of the 112 districts.

Out of 370 MP's in the 9th Parliament, KB and FDC won just a paltry 30 inspite of the huge crowds in nearly all distrcts, that says something. Even independent MPs  won more seats than FDC with 60 coming to parliament, none of the independents were lured to FDC or any opposition party. Most of them were NRM.

Of the 1 million plus elective offices countrywide, FDC failed to field candidates in nearly 70% of the positions. Certainly, this cannot guarantee you victory, neither can you hope to take power operating like this.

Currently the Electoral Rigging Commission says, there are 15 million voters on the electoral register, of which NRM claims to have a membership of 12 million as NRM registered voters. That leaves the opposition with a paltry 3 million. In short the NRM already has the majority and could win anytime, even before any ballots are cast. This is why JPAM, says he is still NRM, so that he competes with M7 for that 12 Million.

What is detrimental for the opposition, is that the NRM is a formidable vote rigging and politically insatiable machinery. They will do anything to win including meting out violence and engaging in abductions and mysterious murders. Mark my words FDC does not stand a chance, they are only commanding a small portion of what is needed to take power, that is why the electoral rigging machinery, the NRM campaign team and the NRM police are not even wasting resources on KB's Campaign trail.
Inspite of it all, we should not give up, because Goliath was felled by a well trained, organised and inspired boy, called David, who believed God was on his side, he had perspective. The rest of Isreal thought Goliath was too big to beat, but David like JPAM thought he was too big to miss, and he knew where to beat.

Check out these statistics; at the last general elections, the Electoral Rigging Commission told us that there were 10 million voters, of which just less than half voted or 5 million votes were cast. Museveni rigged himself to 3 million of these votes and the rest, about 2 million went to Dr. Besigye and the others.

In otherwords, M7 is President simply because majority of Ugandans failed to turn up on voting day. In addition, 2 million voters were added on the register as 1st time voters.
To sum it all up, it is clear that the equation of polling in Uganda cannot be won just the ballot box alone, but with meticulous planning and the use of brains.

It is the reason as to why Mbabazi said he is still NRM. Because this contest is largely within NRM before it even comes to the opposition. Many of us failed to see this and thought he was being disrespectful to the opposition....but JPAM is extremely intelligent and meticulous, he knows where the battles are won.

The opposition will be lucky to cast their ballots in the first place, given that the "crime Presenters" machinery is taking centre stage and right now are syncronising and aligning themselves to the voters register. I believe it is the reason why the M7 team is haunting JPAM wherever he goes because he is standing between the M7 dictatorship and clinging to power through a landslide victory.

For the opposition, JPAM should be seen as a great opportunity not as an obstacle...he really comes in as handy, in the quest for Change. 
JPAM understands all these calculations, while Besigye only knows how to oppose. Besigye has no Idea about the mathematical of Ugandan politics and unfortunately so, do his followers.

Chasing crowds is an intricate trap that Museveni has set for KB, in that, even Muhozi would beat Besigye should they stand in the year 2021. So a review of KB's strategy is inevitable for any difference in results, its not removal, change or making autonomously independent, the EC.... Politics is a game of numbers and JPAM is a game Changer, like a lethal substitute in football. He is the sniper we have always needed to take down the dictatorship....and thankfully he is a trained Mossad."

---- Robert Twinomugisha
"In tribute to the United Kingdom and the Republic of Uganda, two bastions of strength in a world filled with strife, discrimination and terrorism."

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