{UAH} 450,000 Africans projected to contract Covid-19 by May

By ELIZABETH MERAB
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Africa could see up to 450,000 people test positive for the highly infectious Coronavirus (Covid-19) by the second week of May, putting the continent's fragile health systems under severe test.

A team of scientists from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine made the prediction based on a mathematical modelling projection, as the number of Covid-19 positive Africans more than doubled in one week to Friday's figure of more than 6,500 cases.

The scientists also project that each East African country will report at least 10,000 Covid-19 cases by May 10, with Uganda being the last to hit this number.

With 50 out of 56 African countries now reporting Covid-19 cases, the scientists say only strict interventions such as social distancing could make their forecasts wrong.

"We are only projecting reported cases, which are a fraction of actual cases. Ramping up testing, while better for the overall response and the ultimate number of actual cases, would mean seeing more cases sooner," said Carl Pearson the principal investigator of a paper published on March 25.

The number of coronavirus positive people globally crossed the one million mark on Friday.

https://www.theeastafrican.co.ke/news/ea/450000-Africans-projected-to-contract-covid19-by-may/4552908-5513978-3cc9tn/index.html?fbclid=IwAR3QYqMgKnBV0mnlN_k7ZckhuFEZPzFBbDBFcPMgl1P9ICPXrYqY30QLUC8

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