{UAH} IS KAGAME DETERMINED TO FAIL MUSEVENI'S MUHOZI PROJECT??

IS KAGAME DETERMINED TO FAIL MUSEVENI'S MUHOZI PROJECT??

"......... However, if U was Rwanda I would support anyone who wants to cause change in Uganda.........I will work with anyone who is interested in change. What I want to stress is that Presidents can be removed and we have living examples all over."
Gen. Henry Tumukunde - March 2020

Muhoozi Project is a term that was coined by Ugandans to refer to Museveni's scheme of having his son, Gen. Muhoozi inherit the Presidency of Uganda. The trend of political developments suggest that the scheme is unstoppable. Internally, the political opposition to Museveni seems to be losing the battle to unseat Museveni through both the constitutional and unconstitutional means. Museveni has developed the capacity to turn the outcome at the polls into his favour at all costs. The opposition lacks the means to challenge his election rigging. The idea of an opposition coalition can't work because the Museveni dictatorship is so deeply entrenched. The option of an armed rebellion is not sustainable without external support thus why Museveni is very eager about the East African Community (EAC) intergeration. Some opposition entities are advocating for an Arab Spring kind of mass uprising but Ugandans lack the courage and bravery to storm the streets. 

In view of the above situation, Museveni is comfortably preparing the ascendancy of his son to the Presidency. However, the only visible threat to his scheme is the ongoing escalating diplomatic fall out with neighbouring Rwanda. Accusations and counter accusations of efforts to cause regime change have become the order of the day between Kigali and Kampala. Kigali accused Kampala of supporting its dissident armed groups while Kampala accuses Kigali of infiltrating its security apparatus for purposes of espionage. Around June 2018, Museveni purged a number of his top security actors mainly in the police on accusations of links with Rwanda. In May 2019, reports of the arrest of his Director of Intelligence, Col. Muwonge accused of spying for Rwanda, went public. In July 2019, his security machinery rounded up about 40 Rwandan nationals accused of using their Pentecostal ADEPR Church for purposes espionage of espionage. Hundreds of other Rwandan nationals have been detained without trial in Kampala on the same charges. 

The latest catch is of May 2020 when five army officers and two police officers were arrested on charges of spying for Rwanda. Most shocking, some of the said officers were serving under his regime's strategic defence and security units. Lt. Philip Ankunda is an army Pilot under the elite SFC. Lt. Alex Kasanula is from the Military Police. ASP Benon Akandwanaho is a Community Liaison Officer for Kiira Division. Frank Sabiiti is from the Counter-Terrorism Unit attached to Mutukula border. Pte. Nathan Ndwaine, Moses Asiimwe and Godfrey Mugabi are all students of Engineering and Aircraft Maintenance at the Nakasongola Air Defence Wing. They have been charged before the General Court Martial of disclosing confidential security information to an enemy, Rwanda. 

Through his Minister for the Presidency, Museveni recently warned against Ugandans travelling to Rwanda. The August 4 circular to all RDCs read in part;
"A directive to you all RDCs especially those in the districts bordering Rwanda to inform Ugandans of the criminal Rwandan government policy of shooting smugglers that are not armed, although what they are doing is illegal. Ugandans should stop going into Rwanda or those who go should do so at own risk. As for the Rwandan soldiers infiltrating into Uganda to kidnap people, the concerned agencies are already briefed as to how to deal with the provocation."
This development sounds like a declaration of war and it is not yet clear as to how Kigali is reacting. 

What is clear is that it is only the threat from Rwanda that can reverse Museveni's Muhoozi Project. Museveni is very mindful of this threat and must obviously be working around the clock to 'nub it in the bud' thus the escalation of the conflict. As to whether Gen. Tumukunde was right in calling on Rwanda to support Ugandans seeking to change the Museveni regime, time will tell.

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Rehema
Patriot in Kampala,East Africa:Assalamu Alaikum

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