{UAH} So many lessons in Epidemiology to learn from what is going on in Texas
So many lessons in Epidemiology to learn from what is going on in Texas - especially that more than one susceptible person could be infected by an index case in a highly resourced health system. Either some transmission dynamics for Ebola are still not well determined, or the health worker teams made serious blunders, or disinfection protocols for PPEs were not followed, or there are other antibody-antigen-related factors at play in resisting Ebola infections in this particular type of susceptible population:
http://news.yahoo.com/ebola-diagnosed-in-second-dallas-nurse-105542930.html
Also: US might need help from Uganda.may be there is an "airborne" aspect of transmission? ?? The day before her symptoms, she had flown on flight 1143 from Ohio to Texas...........Based on Ebola's R-Zero, no way she might not have infected 2 other people - atleast on that flight........No longer a 'point source epidemic'.These events highlight gaps and issues in US hospitals and the US healthcare system that too often are glossed over. Sadly, the so-called Ebola crisis will activate "just in time" strategies which will not address deeper systemic problems.
At this point therefore, it is theoretically possible to have an exponential rise in new cases, even in the Texas environment - if indeed she traveled on a commercial jetliner during the incubation period.I see many additional cases coming up.... Sounds like the Movie "Contagion".
- Maaso ku lutimbe!
--
"War is nothing but a continuation of political intercourse, with a mixture of other means. Man will never be free until the last king is strangled with the entrails of the last priest."
-- http://news.yahoo.com/ebola-diagnosed-in-second-dallas-nurse-105542930.html
Also: US might need help from Uganda.may be there is an "airborne" aspect of transmission? ?? The day before her symptoms, she had flown on flight 1143 from Ohio to Texas...........Based on Ebola's R-Zero, no way she might not have infected 2 other people - atleast on that flight........No longer a 'point source epidemic'.These events highlight gaps and issues in US hospitals and the US healthcare system that too often are glossed over. Sadly, the so-called Ebola crisis will activate "just in time" strategies which will not address deeper systemic problems.
At this point therefore, it is theoretically possible to have an exponential rise in new cases, even in the Texas environment - if indeed she traveled on a commercial jetliner during the incubation period.I see many additional cases coming up.... Sounds like the Movie "Contagion".
- Maaso ku lutimbe!
--
"War is nothing but a continuation of political intercourse, with a mixture of other means. Man will never be free until the last king is strangled with the entrails of the last priest."
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